Coronation Stakes 2026
The Coronation Stakes is one of the major Group 1 races for three-year-old fillies at Royal Ascot. Run over 1 mile, it usually brings together Classic form, elite juvenile form and improving fillies stepping into the top level.
This year’s renewal has one very clear trends horse in Precise, who achieved a perfect 15/15 match and also owns the strongest overall ratings profile in the race. However, the Turf Talk model also gives strong respect to True Love, Touleen, Balantina, Black Caviar Gold and Timeforshowcasing.
The star-rating table below follows the same expanded format as the previous Royal Ascot race pages, with trends, ratings, speed, trainer angles and overall profile all combined into one final view.
Key Coronation Stakes Trends
- Career RPR: 20/20 winners had achieved an RPR of 107+ during their career.
- Market Position: 20/20 winners were within the first 8 of the market.
- Last Win Class: 20/20 winners did not record their latest win in Listed, Class 3 or Class 5 company.
- Highest Win: 20/20 winners had not achieved their highest win in Listed, Class 3 or Class 5 company.
- Season Profile: 20/20 winners had run in 3-7 races during the year.
- Recent Speed: 20/20 winners achieved a TS of 55+ last time out.
- Last Time Class: 20/20 winners had not run in Listed, Class 2, Class 4 or Class 5 company last time out.
- Last Win Weight: 20/20 winners carried 122-128lbs on their latest win.
- Debut Price: 20/20 winners were no bigger than 16/1 on debut.
- Starting Price: 20/20 winners were no bigger than 33/1.
- Experience: 20/20 winners had run in 3-9 career races.
- Ground: 20/20 winners had not recorded their latest win on heavy, firm or fibresand.
- Recent Form: 19/20 winners had won within their last three starts.
The pure trends shortlist is headed by Precise, who is the only runner to achieve a perfect 15/15 match. True Love is next best on 14/15, with Black Caviar Gold on 12/15. Moon Target, Touleen, Balantina, Sukanya and Timeforshowcasing all score 11/15.
Turf Talk Eliminator + Ratings
| Horse | Trends | Rating | RPR/TS | Profile | Speed | Trainer | Positives | Negatives | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precise | 15/15 | 394 | 129 / 110 | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | Only perfect 15/15 trends match, highest RPR in the race, Ryan Moore booked, A P O’Brien in strong form and already has a top-class mile profile. | Very short price, so there is little room for error, and she still has to confirm superiority against several solid rivals. | Main Selection |
| True Love | 14/15 | 388 | 127 / 120 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | Excellent 14/15 trends match, highest Topspeed in the race, outstanding good-ground record and another powerful A P O’Brien contender. | Wayne Lordan is not Ryan Moore and she has to reverse the market hierarchy with Precise. | Main Danger |
| Balantina | 11/15 | 374 | 121 / 91 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Strong RPR, Oisin Murphy booked and Donnacha O’Brien won this race recently with Porta Fortuna. | Only 11/15 trends and has a long absence to overcome. | Each-Way Chance |
| Touleen | 11/15 | 368 | 117 / 110 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★☆ | Strong Topspeed, Owen Burrows yard operating at a good recent strike-rate and she has enough raw ability to hit the frame. | Trends score is only 11/15 and she has to find more on RPR to trouble the top two. | Speed/Place Chance |
| Black Caviar Gold | 12/15 | 362 | 115 / 100 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★☆☆☆ | Solid 12/15 trends score, useful ratings profile and P Twomey is always respected with progressive fillies. | Needs a sizeable ratings step forward and recent stable form is quiet. | Outside Place Chance |
| Timeforshowcasing | 11/15 | 358 | 118 / 93 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Useful RPR, recent winner and a reliable progressive profile for Charlie Johnston. | Needs more on Topspeed and trends to threaten the principals. | Needs More |
| Sukanya | 11/15 | 354 | 115 / 93 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Has shown ability and has enough RPR to be competitive for minor honours. | Recent run was below what is required and Postdata flags a finish concern. | Minor Place At Best |
| Moon Target | 11/15 | 350 | 113 / 99 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★☆☆☆☆ | Not completely dismissed on raw RPR/TS and has enough back-form to outrun big odds. | Trainer form is cold and she returns from a long break. | Big Ask |
| Rose Ghaiyyath | 9/15 | 344 | 114 / 107 | ★☆☆☆☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★☆☆☆ | Useful Topspeed figure and Christophe Soumillon booking is interesting. | Weakest trends score in the field and recent form is not strong enough. | Opposable |
Key: ★★★★★ excellent, ★★★★☆ strong, ★★★☆☆ fair, ★★☆☆☆ below ideal, ★☆☆☆☆ concern.
Final Turf Talk Filter
The final shortlist is headed by Precise, True Love, Balantina, Touleen, Black Caviar Gold and Timeforshowcasing.
Precise is very hard to oppose. She is the only perfect 15/15 trends match, has the highest RPR in the race, a strong Topspeed figure and the A P O’Brien/Ryan Moore combination. Her profile is exactly what this race usually demands.
True Love is the main danger. She has an excellent 14/15 trends score, the best Topspeed figure in the field and a flawless good-ground record from the data supplied. She gives A P O’Brien a very strong second hand.
Balantina looks the most interesting each-way alternative. She has a strong RPR, Oisin Murphy booked and Donnacha O’Brien has a recent win in this race, but the layoff and trends score keep her behind the top two.
Touleen has the speed to run well and the Owen Burrows yard is in form, while Black Caviar Gold and Timeforshowcasing are respected but need improvement to win.
Coronation Stakes 2026 Tips
1. Precise 8/13
Precise is the Turf Talk selection after achieving a perfect 15/15 trends score and producing the highest RPR in the race.
She has the strongest overall profile, represents A P O’Brien and Ryan Moore and looks the clear standard-setter.
2. True Love 10/3
True Love is the main danger.
She has a strong 14/15 trends match, the best Topspeed figure in the race and an excellent going record. She looks the one most likely to make Precise work.
3. Balantina 12/1
Balantina is the each-way angle.
She brings a strong RPR, Oisin Murphy is booked and Donnacha O’Brien has already shown he can win this race.
Turf Talk Verdict
Precise gets the vote in the Coronation Stakes. She is the only perfect trends match, owns the highest RPR in the field and brings the strongest overall profile. True Love is the obvious danger on speed, while Balantina appeals most as the each-way alternative.
Final Selection
Precise
1st: Precise 8/13
2nd: True Love 10/3
3rd: Balantina 12/1
Speed Danger: Touleen 17/2
Outside Place Chance: Black Caviar Gold 33/1
The Coronation Stakes often goes to a genuinely high-class filly, and the trends, ratings and overall profile point very strongly towards Precise.
