Duchess of Cambridge Stakes 2026
The Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is one of the key juvenile fillies’ contests of the July Festival and brings together a compact but fascinating field over six furlongs.
This year’s renewal features Libertango, Senorita Bonita, Etonnante, Jolivette, Ruby Moon, Alwaysanangel, Acclamation Star and Troublesome Guest.
From a trends perspective, Libertango is the standout after achieving a perfect 15/15 match. Senorita Bonita is next best on 14/15, while Etonnante and Jolivette both score a strong 13/15.
Key Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends
- Market: 20/20 winners were no bigger than 20/1.
- Career RPR: 20/20 winners had achieved an RPR of at least 82.
- Last-Time-Out Class: 20/20 winners had not run in Class 2-3 or Class 5-6 company last time.
- Highest Run: 20/20 winners’ highest level was not Class 2 or Class 5.
- Experience: 20/20 winners had run in two to four career races.
- Career Price: 20/20 winners had never started bigger than 33/1.
- Debut Surface: 20/20 winners had not debuted on heavy, firm or standard ground.
- Career Speed: 20/20 winners had achieved a Topspeed figure of at least 57.
- Debut Price: 20/20 winners had started at 16/1 or shorter on debut.
- Recent RPR: 19/20 winners had achieved an RPR of at least 88 last time out.
- Last-Win Surface: 18/20 winners had not last won on firm, standard-slow or standard ground.
- Last-Win Weight: 18/20 winners carried between 123lb and 128lb for their latest victory.
- Last-Time-Out Price: 18/20 winners started at 20/1 or shorter on their latest run.
- Last-Win Location: 18/20 winners had not recorded their latest victory in France, Scotland or Wales.
- Recent Distance: 17/20 winners raced over six furlongs last time out.
The strongest trends horse is Libertango on a perfect 15/15. Senorita Bonita is a major danger on 14/15, with Etonnante and Jolivette close behind on 13/15.
Turf Talk Eliminator + Ratings
| Horse | Trends | Rating | RPR/TS | Profile | Speed | Trainer | Positives | Negatives | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertango | 15/15 | 392 | 117 / 95 | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★☆ | Perfect trends match, joint-best RPR, unbeaten on the going and unbeaten over six furlongs. | Likely to start at a short price and faces a serious speed rival. | Main Selection |
| Senorita Bonita | 14/15 | 386 | 117 / 112 | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★☆ | Joint-best RPR, clear top Topspeed figure and excellent 14/15 trends profile. | Still seeking a first win over six furlongs and was beaten last time. | Main Danger |
| Etonnante | 13/15 | 372 | 94 / 79 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★★★ | Unbeaten, proven over six furlongs and represents a yard with an excellent recent record in this race. | Has significant ground to make up on the leading RPR and Topspeed figures. | Improver |
| Jolivette | 13/15 | 360 | 89 / 87 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | Strong trends score, proven over six furlongs and Colin Keane is booked. | Must recover from a disappointing latest run and improve her RPR. | Each-Way Chance |
| Ruby Moon | 11/15 | 348 | 86 / 27 | ★★★☆☆ | ★☆☆☆☆ | ★★★★☆ | Unbeaten, proven on the going and over the trip, with Ryan Moore booked. | Very low Topspeed figure and only an average trends match. | Potential Improver |
| Alwaysanangel | 9/15 | 338 | 88 / 62 | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Debut winner over six furlongs and open to improvement for Joseph O’Brien. | Trends score and speed figure leave her behind the principals. | Needs More |
| Acclamation Star | 8/15 | 330 | 88 / 72 | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★★☆ | Marco Ghiani is in exceptional form and the filly can improve from her debut. | Weak trends match and has plenty to find on RPR. | Outsider |
| Troublesome Guest | 8/15 | 322 | 89 / 83 | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★☆☆☆☆ | Reasonable Topspeed figure and some scope after only two starts. | Poor trends score, remains a maiden and finished well beaten last time. | Oppose |
Key: ★★★★★ excellent, ★★★★☆ strong, ★★★☆☆ fair, ★★☆☆☆ below ideal, ★☆☆☆☆ concern.
Final Turf Talk Filter
The Duchess of Cambridge Stakes filter points strongly towards Libertango. She is the only runner to achieve a perfect 15/15 trends score and she also brings the joint-best RPR in the field at 117.
Her profile is especially persuasive because she is unbeaten on the supplied going and unbeaten over six furlongs. She therefore combines the correct historical profile with proven conditions form and a strong performance level.
Senorita Bonita is the biggest danger. She matches Libertango on RPR and owns the clear top Topspeed figure of 112. Her 14/15 trends score is also excellent, although she lacks Libertango’s perfect record over the trip.
Etonnante is the most interesting improver. She is unbeaten, has already won over six furlongs and represents Karl Burke, who has an excellent recent record in this race.
Jolivette is another strong trends match on 13/15 and has enough speed to be competitive if putting her latest run behind her.
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes 2026 Tips
1. Libertango 5/6
Libertango is the Turf Talk selection after achieving a perfect 15/15 trends score.
She is unbeaten, proven on the going and over the distance, and brings a joint-best RPR of 117 into the race. Her strong Topspeed figure of 95 confirms that she has the necessary pace.
2. Senorita Bonita 7/2
Senorita Bonita is the main danger.
She owns the highest Topspeed figure in the race at 112, matches Libertango on RPR and scores an excellent 14/15 on the trends. She is the runner most capable of testing the favourite.
3. Etonnante 11/1
Etonnante completes the top three.
She is unbeaten, proven over six furlongs and represents a trainer with an excellent record in this contest. Her figures need to improve, but she has the scope to take a sizeable step forward.
Turf Talk Verdict
Libertango gets the vote in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. She is the only perfect 15/15 trends match, has the joint-best RPR and is unbeaten on the going and over the distance. Senorita Bonita is the clear speed danger, while Etonnante and Jolivette are respected as progressive alternatives.
Final Selection
Libertango
1st: Libertango (5/6)
2nd: Senorita Bonita (7/2)
3rd: Etonnante (11/1)
Each-Way Angle: Jolivette
