Jersey Stakes 2026
The Jersey Stakes is one of Royal Ascot’s strongest three-year-old races, run over 7f. It often suits a horse with Group-class ability, strong recent RPR figures, enough tactical speed for the straight track and the stamina to finish strongly over this specialist trip.
This year’s renewal is headed by Saber Strike, Into The Sky, The Prettiest Star, Avicenna, Catullus, Thesecretadversary and Neolithic. From a pure trends perspective, The Prettiest Star is the only perfect 15/15 match, while America Queen, Dorset, Morris Dancer and Thesecretadversary all score strongly on 14/15.
The star-rating table below follows the same expanded format as the previous Royal Ascot race pages, with trends, ratings, speed, trainer angles and overall profile all combined into one final view.
Key Jersey Stakes Trends
- Market Position: 20/20 winners were within the first 10 of the market.
- Starting Price: 20/20 winners were no bigger than 25/1.
- Last-Time Class: 20/20 winners did not run in a Group 2, Class 2-3 or Class 5-6 last time out.
- Last-Time Weight: 20/20 winners carried 121-129lbs last time out.
- Recent RPR: 20/20 winners achieved an RPR of 89+ last time out.
- Debut Price: 20/20 winners were no bigger than 14/1 on debut.
- Recent Speed: 20/20 winners achieved a TS of 74+ within their last five starts.
- Debut Margin: 20/20 winners were beaten no more than 6½ lengths on debut.
- Colour: 20/20 winners were not BB, BL, BR, GR or RG in colour.
- Last Three RPR: 20/20 winners achieved an RPR of 97+ within their last three starts.
- Race Type: 20/20 winners ran in a non-handicap last time out.
- Last Win RPR: 20/20 winners achieved an RPR of 85+ on their latest win.
- Winning Form: 18/20 winners had won within their last four starts.
- Official Rating: 17/20 winners held an OR of 102+.
- Last-Time Margin: 17/20 winners were beaten no more than 7¾ lengths last time out.
The pure trends shortlist is headed by The Prettiest Star, who achieved a perfect 15/15 match. America Queen, Dorset, Morris Dancer and Thesecretadversary are close behind on 14/15, while Avicenna, Into The Sky, Green Sense, Neolithic and Saber Strike all score 13/15.
Turf Talk Eliminator + Ratings
| Horse | Trends | Rating | RPR/TS | Profile | Speed | Trainer | Positives | Negatives | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Prettiest Star | 15/15 | 390 | 121 / 114 | ★★★★★ | ★★★★★ | ★★★★☆ | Perfect 15/15 trends match, joint-top RPR, best Topspeed figure and James Doyle booked for Ed Walker, who won this race last year. | Has to prove she can reproduce that level in a big-field Royal Ascot race. | Main Selection |
| Saber Strike | 13/15 | 382 | 120 / 82 | ★★★★☆ | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★★★★ | Strong 13/15 trends score, lightly raced unbeaten profile and William Haggas yard is in excellent form. | Topspeed figure is much lower than the strongest speed horses. | Main Danger |
| Catullus | 12/15 | 378 | 121 / 102 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★★ | Joint-top RPR, good speed figure, William Buick booked and Charlie Appleby yard in solid form. | Only 12/15 trends and needs to back up the latest improvement. | Ratings Danger |
| Neolithic | 13/15 | 374 | 121 / 103 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★★ | Joint-top RPR, strong 13/15 trends score and Ryan Moore booked for A P O’Brien. | Recent form is not quite as strong as some of the market leaders. | Shortlist |
| Thesecretadversary | 14/15 | 372 | 119 / 106 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Strong 14/15 trends match, good RPR/TS blend and reliable profile. | Needs to find a little more on ratings against the top three. | Each-Way Chance |
| America Queen | 14/15 | 370 | 119 / 110 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★★ | ★★☆☆☆ | Strong 14/15 trends score and one of the best Topspeed figures in the race. | Richard Hughes yard is quiet in the recent trainer data. | Speed Player |
| Into The Sky | 13/15 | 366 | 116 / 106 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★★☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Solid 13/15 trends score, Oisin Murphy booked and a good RPR/TS combination. | Needs to improve to match the top-rated runners. | Shortlist |
| Morris Dancer | 14/15 | 364 | 117 / 92 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★☆☆ | Strong 14/15 trends score and John & Thady Gosden profile. | Long absence and speed figure is below the best. | Trends Outsider |
| Avicenna | 13/15 | 362 | 116 / 98 | ★★★★☆ | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★★★ | Strong 13/15 trends score and Roger Varian yard in good recent form. | Postdata finish concern and needs to rebound from latest run. | Possible |
| Andab | 11/15 | 358 | 116 / 112 | ★★★☆☆ | ★★★★★ | ★★★☆☆ | Excellent Topspeed figure and consistent recent form. | Only 11/15 trends and may lack the profile strength of the leading runners. | Speed Outsider |
| Ardisia | 10/15 | 354 | 117 / 111 | ★★☆☆☆ | ★★★★★ | ★★☆☆☆ | Very strong Topspeed and a fair RPR. | Lower trends score and big market price suggest more is needed. | Big Price Speed Angle |
Key: ★★★★★ excellent, ★★★★☆ strong, ★★★☆☆ fair, ★★☆☆☆ below ideal, ★☆☆☆☆ concern.
Final Turf Talk Filter
The final shortlist is headed by The Prettiest Star, Saber Strike, Catullus, Neolithic, Thesecretadversary, America Queen and Into The Sky.
The Prettiest Star comes out on top because she is the only perfect 15/15 trends match, has a joint-top RPR, owns the strongest Topspeed figure and has James Doyle booked for Ed Walker, who won this race last year.
Saber Strike is the main danger. He is lightly raced, progressive, trained by William Haggas and brings a strong 13/15 trends profile, but his Topspeed figure is lower than ideal.
Catullus is a ratings danger with a joint-top RPR and a solid speed figure, while Neolithic has the Ryan Moore/A P O’Brien angle and a strong 13/15 trends score.
Thesecretadversary and America Queen both have strong trends scores and could easily outrun their prices.
Jersey Stakes 2026 Tips
1. The Prettiest Star 15/2
The Prettiest Star is the Turf Talk selection after achieving a perfect 15/15 trends score.
She has the joint-top RPR, the best Topspeed figure and James Doyle booked for Ed Walker. That combination gives her the strongest all-round profile.
2. Saber Strike 5/2
Saber Strike is the main danger.
He is lightly raced, progressive and represents the in-form William Haggas yard. The only concern is whether his Topspeed figure is quite strong enough.
3. Catullus 9/1
Catullus is the ratings danger.
He has a joint-top RPR, a solid Topspeed figure and William Buick booked for Charlie Appleby. He looks a strong danger if building again on his latest run.
Turf Talk Verdict
The Prettiest Star gets the vote in the Jersey Stakes. She is the only perfect trends match, has the joint-top RPR and owns the best Topspeed figure. Saber Strike is the main danger, while Catullus, Neolithic and Thesecretadversary are all respected.
Final Selection
The Prettiest Star
1st: The Prettiest Star 15/2
2nd: Saber Strike 5/2
3rd: Catullus 9/1
Each-Way Angle: Thesecretadversary 10/1
Speed Danger: America Queen 18/1
The Jersey Stakes is competitive, but the trends, ratings and speed profile point most strongly towards The Prettiest Star.
