Date: Saturday 21st June 2025
Royal Ascot Day 5 Preview – 2025
The final day of Royal Ascot is always a fascinating mix of Group race quality, fiercely competitive handicaps and one of the most unusual staying contests of the entire British Flat season. As ever, the trends help narrow the field, especially in the handicaps and in the established sprint and staying races.
Using the final racecards and the key race trends, these are the Turf Talk ratings and selections for Royal Ascot Day 5.
RACE 1 - CHESHAM STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Treanmor | 209 |
| Humidity | 205 |
| Moments Of Joy | 201 |
| Venetian Lace | 196 |
| Thesecretadversary | 192 |
| Waterford Castle | 187 |
Main Selection: Treanmor (7/4 available)
The Chesham trends normally point towards a well-fancied juvenile with a recent run and already enough substance in the book to cope with stepping up to seven furlongs. He looked the strongest fit on that basis and came from exactly the sort of yard you would expect to target this race with a sharp, classy youngster.
Second Selection: Humidity (9/2 available)
He also fitted the broad shape of the race very well, bringing the right recent profile and enough promise to suggest this test would suit. He did not quite look as obvious as the favourite on paper, but still had the sort of credentials that made him a very live second choice in a race where professionalism counts for plenty.
RACE 2 - HARDWICKE STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Rebel’s Romance | 222 |
| Ghostwriter | 216 |
| Al Riffa | 212 |
| Sunway | 206 |
| Al Aasy | 201 |
| Palladium | 197 |
Main Selection: Rebel’s Romance (7/4 available)
The Hardwicke trends are normally very dependable and he looked the clear standout on them. He had the rating, the Group-class form and the twelve-furlong credentials you want for this race, and he came here as the most solid proven performer in the field. On profile and substance, he looked the right favourite.
Second Selection: Ghostwriter (13/2 available)
A younger horse with a strong profile for the race and one who still looked open to further progress at this sort of trip. He did not have quite the same established level as the selection, but the age trend and rating strength were both in his favour. He looked the most interesting alternative if the favourite was vulnerable at all.
RACE 3 - QUEEN ELIZABETH II JUBILEE STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Satono Reve | 220 |
| Inisherin | 215 |
| Lazzat | 211 |
| Topgear | 206 |
| Storm Boy | 201 |
| Flora Of Bermuda | 196 |
Main Selection: Satono Reve (5/2 available)
This race usually goes to a top-class six-furlong specialist with a high rating, plenty of sprinting experience and strong recent form, and he looked the strongest fit in the field. He had all the right credentials on paper and looked the type who should be very hard to keep out of the finish if handling Ascot.
Second Selection: Inisherin (4/1 available)
Another very obvious contender on the trends, with the right age profile, enough quality and a sprint record that demanded respect. He had more than enough ability to win a race like this and looked the most logical danger to the main selection if things unfolded in his favour from a pace and track-position point of view.
RACE 4 - JERSEY STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Comanche Brave | 209 |
| Seagulls Eleven | 204 |
| Marvelman | 200 |
| California Dreamer | 196 |
| Noble Champion | 191 |
| Saracen | 187 |
Main Selection: Comanche Brave (7/2 available)
The Jersey tends to favour a horse dropping out of Classic company or stronger Group races, and he looked the best fit on the numbers. He had the rating, the seven-furlong credentials and enough quality to suggest this race should be within reach. He looked the most solid option in what was not the easiest renewal to assess.
Second Selection: Seagulls Eleven (25/1 available)
Not the obvious one in the market, but he still appealed on the key race patterns and looked to have a fair bit more substance than his odds suggested. He had the right sort of profile for a race that can throw up a horse from just off the radar, and he looked worth including as the value alternative.
RACE 5 - WOKINGHAM STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| More Thunder | 208 |
| Jarraaf | 204 |
| Completely Random | 200 |
| Ten Pounds | 196 |
| Aramram | 192 |
| Zoum Zoum | 188 |
Main Selection: More Thunder (4/1 available)
The Wokingham trends usually point towards a four or five-year-old with a workable mark, a high draw and a solid recent run over six furlongs, and he looked one of the strongest fits in the race. He had the profile of a horse ready to strike in a major handicap and looked the most appealing option on the overall trends.
Second Selection: Jarraaf (13/2 available)
Another runner who matched the broad shape of the race well and looked likely to be competitive if getting the gaps at the right time. He had the right rating range, enough sprint form and the sort of profile that often goes very close in this contest. He looked the most sensible backup to the main selection.
RACE 6 - GOLDEN GATES STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Seraph Gabriel | 207 |
| Best Secret | 203 |
| Quai De Bethune | 198 |
| Violet Star | 194 |
| Glen To Glen | 189 |
| El Burhan | 185 |
Main Selection: Seraph Gabriel (7/2 available)
The Golden Gates is still a relatively young race, but the trends already point strongly towards a three-year-old in the right handicap band with recent form and enough experience at around ten furlongs. He fitted that profile nicely and looked one of the more likely runners to improve again in this setup.
Second Selection: Best Secret (5/1 available)
He was another who made plenty of sense on the race trends and looked very capable of being involved if the main selection underperformed. He had enough form at the trip, enough class for the grade and the sort of profile that often travels strongly in these competitive three-year-old handicaps.
RACE 7 - QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Sober | 214 |
| Samui | 208 |
| Wild Waves | 202 |
| Dallas Star | 197 |
| Trooper Bisdee | 191 |
| Scottish Anthem | 186 |
Main Selection: Sober (10/11 available)
The Queen Alexandra trends are normally very clear, with older stayers from National Hunt backgrounds often dominating, and he looked the strongest fit in the field. He had the right age, the right stamina profile and the right trainer angle for this unique race. On paper, he looked extremely solid.
Second Selection: Samui (4/1 available)
He also had a very attractive profile for this race and looked the obvious horse to chase the main selection home if things unfolded as expected. His staying credentials were solid and he came here with enough substance to suggest he would cope well with the unusual demands of this marathon contest.




